I guess I don't get the "one moment" thinking. That's not how it works anyway if you have any sense.
I expect him to bring us back more often than not because he's done it so many times already. (No, not every time, obviously.)
If you want me to give a reason I doubt him, it has nothing to do with "choking". It's that he's shown a tendency more the last couple of years to shy away from contact. He's starting to get happy feet when there's pressure around him, and he didn't do that when he was younger. I know to some extent that's normal as a player piles up the hits over a career, but I don't think that bodes very well for him the next couple of years as he ages.