While unlikely, there is still a road to us getting HFA for the playoffs.
It would almost assuredly require we win out to finish 13-4. Doing so would also give us a head to head tie breaker vs Arizona and our final conference record would be 11-1.
From there, we'd either need to finish in a head to head tie with Arizona OR a 3/4 way tie with Tampa and Green Bay. I think if we do finish in a 3/4 way tie we would get HFA based on better conference record (Cards, Packers and Bucs already have 2 or 3 conference losses each). 2014 was somewhat similar as us, Seahawks and Packers all finished 12-4. We had a head to head tie breaker vs Seattle but we did not play GB, so the tie breaker went to conference record. Seahawks got the #1 seed with a 10-2 NFC record, followed by GB (9-3) and then us (8-4)
Remaining schedules:
Cowboys (9-4)- at Giants, Redskins, Cardinals, at Eagles
Cardinals (10-2) - Rams, at Lions, Colts, at Cowboys, Seahawks
Packers (10-3)- at Ravens, Browns, Vikings, at Lions
Bucs (10-3)- Saints, at Panthers, at Jets, Panthers
Rams (8-4)- at Cardinals, Seahawks, at Vikings, at Ravens, Niners
We'd need AZ to lose twice (once being us) and GB/TB to both lose once. Barring injuries or just not showing up, Tampa losing a game is probably unlikely. Packers caught a huge break with Lamar Jackson being carted off yesterday and he may not play for the Ravens next week. Cards have 3 tough games remaining with Rams, Colts and us. I included the Rams just because technically they are still alive for the NFC West title but their schedule is pretty tough and Cards already thumped them once.
