dbair1967

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Battleground Poll: Romney Up 16 with Independents, Up 13 In Enthusiasm


by John Nolte
8 Oct 2012, 6:10 AM PDT377

In 2008, President Barack Obama won the independent vote over John McCain by a margin of eight points, 52-44. This morning, a new Battleground Poll has Mitt Romney massacring Obama among indies by a whopping 16 points, 51-35.

That's a 24-point swing among independents since 2008, a group that makes up anywhere from a quarter to a third of voters, and yet Battleground still has Obama in the lead 49-48…?

But if I'm skeptical of those bottom-line numbers, our journalist overlords who have chosen to palace guard instead of question will declare me a "truther."

The Battleground Poll also shows a 13 point enthusiasm gap in Romney's favor. Only 73% of Obama's supporters are "extremely likely" to vote, compared to 86% of Romney's supporters.

But again, don't question Battleground's 49-48% outcome. In fact, don't question anything anymore -- or the media will question you and mock you as a "truther. " This includes questioning our government about the release of counter-intuitive unemployment statistics very helpful to the president just 30 days out from the election.

Though the media hasn't yet decided it's time for a Romney Comeback Narrative, and probably never will, even if he wins -- there's no question Romney is rebounding in every national and swing state poll.

Nationally, Gallup has it all tied up among registered voters -- with the president dangerously below 50 at 47%. Rasmussen uses the more reliable likely voter screen and has Romney up 49-47%.

In the Real Clear Politics poll of polls, nationally Romney is only down .09%. A week ago he was down over 4 points.

In Ohio, according to RCP's poll of polls, Obama's Ohio lead has shrunk to three -- Virginia has Obama only up by 0.3. Florida and Colorado are tied.

The good news for Romney is that we are now seeing polls from each of these states with the GOP nominee in the lead. The bad news for Obama is that in most of these swing state polls, he is not hitting 50.

Well, actually the worst news for Obama is 85% of the calls made for this new Battleground Poll were made prior to Obama humiliating himself in last week's debate.



Follow John Nolte on Twitter @NolteNC
 
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If the independents stick with Romney and Obama doesn't get the hype-filled turnout he had 4 years ago, then he's history. I'm sure the D's are sweating right about now.
 

dbair1967

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Yep. I really hope we see a landslide on election night.

I think we'll get a good idea pretty early too. If Romney wins Virgina and New Hampshire (and I think he's going to) early evening, could be pretty telling for the rest of the night.
 
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Still a ways to go though. Have to see if he can sustain it and turnout will be key.
 

superpunk

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Long way to go yet. If women and minorities show up obama will win in a landslide no matter what.
 

Sheik

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No argument there.

If the turnout model is anything like 2008, it'll be tough, probably impossible.

What gives me hope is that enthusiasm points to conservative republicans this time.
 

Sheik

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Not to get off subject, but I can't stand Sean Hannity in election years. He promotes too much conspiracy bullshit.
 

superpunk

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I don't know why they wouldn't show up. It's not like any of them have jobs or anything important todo.
 

FuzzyLumpkins

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Lol Breitbart columnists. Oh that's right you guys think Fox News is actually fair and balanced.
 

dbair1967

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Lol Breitbart columnists. Oh that's right you guys think Fox News is actually fair and balanced.

When you spend all your time watching communist news networks like CBS, NBC, CNN and MSNBC then anything in the middle will appear far right
 

FuzzyLumpkins

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When you spend all your time watching communist news networks like CBS, NBC, CNN and MSNBC then anything in the middle will appear far right

Oh how i have missed you, David. I watch Spurs and Cowboys games on the television. I watch movies on Netflix and torrent the rest. That's my visual media consultant. I listen to music from my Galaxy when I drive or turn it off.

I read my news. Economist, National Review, New Republic, Foreign Affairs, Foreign Policy, Scientific American, Popular Mechanics, Nature, Pew Research and the Christian Science Monitor.

Sorry I don't fit into your easy categories of 'us' and 'commies.'
 
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