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By Rob Rang
Senior Analyst - NFLDraftScout.com
In a typical year, by the first week of April the opening round of the NFL Draft has begun to crystallize.
Of course, with the end of the Collective Bargaining Agreement, this offseason has been anything but predictable.
NFLDraftScout.com has identified the top players in the 2011 draft, but projecting the order in which they are drafted is significantly more difficult as teams haven't been able to fill needs via free agency or trade. Some teams will follow their time-honored tradition of taking the best player available. Others simply don't have that luxury and have positions that must be filled via the draft.
This could lead to a run on pass rushers and quarterbacks -- the most important positions on each side of the ball.
To better demonstrate an anticipated run at a certain position and how they could shape the 2011 Draft, here is my initial projection of the first two rounds.
NFL Mock Draft - 4/4/2011
Round 1
1. Carolina Panthers
Cam Newton, QB, Auburn: There are plenty of reasons why the Panthers might elect to go in another direction with this pick. As general manager Marty Hurney recently put it in an in-studio interview with the "Mac Attack" on local Charlotte sports radio 610 AM The Fan, however, the first pick of the draft needs to be "the player who will have the most impact on your organization." Newton, more than any other player in this draft, has that potential.
2. Denver Broncos
Marcell Dareus, DT, Alabama : The Broncos have a variety of needs, but none bigger than at defensive tackle. Denver finished 31st in the NFL in run defense last year and recently released former starters Justin Bannan and Jamal Williams. Dareus is the best run-stuffing defensive tackle in this class and among the safer picks. Barring a trade down, he should be a no-brainer here.
3. Buffalo Bills
Von Miller, OLB, Texas A&M : To have a chance in the highly competitive AFC East, the Bills must address their needs on defense. Buffalo was unable to consistently put pressure on the quarterback last season, finishing with only 27 sacks, tied for the third-worst total in the NFL. Of those 27 sacks, a scant six came from their outside linebackers. The Bills know Miller better than anyone, having coached him at the Senior Bowl, and would have to consider him at this spot.
4. Cincinnati Bengals
Blaine Gabbert, QB, Missouri : The Bengals seem convinced that Carson Palmer will indeed follow through with his pledge to retire if he isn't traded. The Bengals are notorious for their unwillingness to bend in these negotiations with prior players and, until a new CBA is reached, don't have the option of trading Palmer. Therefore, if Gabbert, NFLDraftScout.com's top-rated quarterback, is available, the Missouri passer is likely to be the Bengals' pick.
5. Arizona Cardinals
Robert Quinn, DE, North Carolina: Finishing 5-11 last season, the Cardinals may not appear close to playoff contention, but with improved pass rush and quarterback play, they might emerge in a very winnable NFC West. Insiders believe the Cardinals are most interested in finding a veteran quarterback. Along with Von Miller, Quinn is the draft's elite pass rusher and would make more of an immediate impact than any other player available.
6. Cleveland Browns
A.J. Green, WR, Georgia: If the Browns believe that Colt McCoy is a franchise quarterback, they'll need to add weapons to help him. There should be internal debate at this pick as Nick Fairley could give the club the standout defensive lineman they need in their conversion to the 4-3. If Cleveland is comfortable with Fairley's character red-flags, he'll take priority over a receiver. Green isn't even necessarily the best fit for Cleveland, as Alabama's Julio Jones is the more classic fit in the West Coast Offense. Green was the better player for the past three years in the SEC.
7. San Francisco 49ers
Patrick Peterson, CB, LSU - The 49ers would be fortunate if the draft fell this way as Peterson, arguably the top prospect in the entire class, would fall into their lap simply because teams ahead of them have bigger areas of need. So do the 49ers, but the ball-hawking Peterson could make an immediate impact in San Francisco on the defensive side of the ball and push the disappointing Ted Ginn, Jr. for the starting punt returner job.
8. Tennessee Titans
Nick Fairley, DT, Auburn: The Titans have other needs, but could have a hard time passing up Fairley, arguably the draft's most talented player, should he be available here. Tennessee hired Tracy Rocker to be their defensive line coach in February. Rocker was Fairley's defensive line coach at Auburn the past two seasons. If his former position coach doesn't feel strongly enough to bang the table to get the 2010 Lombardi Trophy winner inside the building, Fairley could be in for a slide right out of the top 10.
9. Dallas Cowboys
Tyron Smith, OT, Southern California : Doug Free played well enough in his first season at left tackle, but too many others along the Cowboys' offensive line struggled, including right tackle Marc Columbo, whose chronic knee problems have limited his lateral mobility. Smith erased any concerns about his mobility with a strong Pro Day performance and the Cowboys had a large contingent on hand to see the workout, including head coach Jason Garrett and director of scouting Tom Ciskowski. The Cowboys also scheduled Smith for a private visit.
10. Washington Redskins
Jake Locker, QB, Washington : Though it would be a surprise to see the Redskins take Locker here (but not out of the question), with only two picks (No. 10, No. 41) before the fifth round, the Redskins will be looking at trade-down options and could be targeting the former Washington passer if they are successful in doing so. Mike Shanahan is thought to be quite high on Locker's mobility, arm strength and intangibles and there is no doubt that the former Husky fits in nicely with Shanahan's offense, which relies heavily on quarterback rollouts.
11. Houston Texans
Cameron Jordan, DE, California : The Texans would love to see one of the top two outside linebackers available at this spot but without a minor miracle, that isn't going to happen. The team, according to insiders, doesn't appear to be sold on Missouri's Aldon Smith's ability to make this transition. If so, rather than panic, the Texans would be wise to add Jordan, the 6-4, 287-pound Senior Bowl and Combine standout who has a proven track record of starring in the 3-4 scheme while at Cal.
12. Minnesota Vikings
Da'Quan Bowers, DE, Clemson : Bowers' disappointing Pro Day workout could have a significant impact on his draft stock, pushing the nation's leading sacker right out of the top 10. The Vikings have other, bigger concerns, but with Ray Edwards likely to be one of the most sought-after free agents (assuming there is free agency before the start of the 2011 season), Minnesota could have this cheaper and younger replacement fall into their lap. Bowers, who underwent surgery to repair a torn meniscus following the season, will be among the more heavily scrutinized players at the Combine re-checks this week. Should team doctors red-flag his knee, he could fall a lot further than this.
13. Detroit Lions
Prince Amukamara, CB, Nebraska : The Lions would be fortunate to see Amukamara, a legitimate top 10 prospect, still on the board at this point. Having hit the lottery with a Cornhusker last year in All-Pro defensive tackle Ndamukong Suh, Detroit wouldn't waste any time turning in their card and erasing their need for an infusion of size, speed and physicality at cornerback.
14. St. Louis Rams
Julio Jones, WR, Alabama : The Rams have their young franchise quarterback in Sam Bradford and a workhorse runner in All-Pro Steven Jackson, but desperately need help outside. Jones isn't as fast on the field as he was at the Combine, but his size, strength and three years of consistent standout play in the ultra-competitive SEC make him an ideal candidate to make an immediate impact.
15. Miami Dolphins
Mark Ingram, RB, Alabama : There is a growing consensus throughout the league that if Ingram isn't selected by the Dolphins - who need a running back with Ronnie Brown and Ricky Williams each scheduled for free agency - that the 2009 Heisman winner could slip to the end of the first round or even into the second round. Clearly, running back isn't the valued position it once was, but backs with Ingram's vision, balance, toughness and ball security (only two lost fumbles in 453 career touches) are still worth a first-round pick.
16. Jacksonville Jaguars
Ryan Kerrigan, DE, Purdue: The Jaguars surprised many with the selection of Tyson Alualu in the first round. Though the selection was panned by many, I thought the former Cal defender was one of the "safest" defensive linemen in the draft. Kerrigan is a similarly safe pick. The Big Ten Defensive Player of the Year in 2010, Kerrigan leaves Purdue with 33.5 sacks, 57 tackles for loss and a Big Ten-record 14 career forced fumbles.
17. New England Patriots (from Oakland)
Aldon Smith, DE, Missouri: The Patriots surprised many with their 14-2 record last season despite plenty of youth on defense, but the team can't survive counting on Tully Banta-Cain to be its top sack producer. The Patriots only received 10 sacks from their outside linebackers in 2010. Not every team is convinced that Smith, a defensive end at Missouri, can make the adjustment to outside linebacker, but he is a natural pass rusher who has the size (6-4, 263) that Bill Belichick prefers for the position.
18. San Diego Chargers
J.J. Watt, DE, Wisconsin: Nose guard Antonio Garay emerged as a standout in the middle for the Chargers and the team has a solid starter at one defensive end spot in Luis Castillo. The other side is a concern as Jacques Cesaire is better suited to play a backup role. Watt has the size (6-6, 290), athleticism and tenacity that every 3-4 defense is looking for at the five-technique and would be a great value here.
19. NY Giants
Mike Pouncey, OG, Florida : Age and injuries crumbled the offensive line of the Giants last season, especially on the interior. Pouncey has the size, physicality and athleticism to immediately compete in the combative NFC East division and would give New York a lot of flexibility inside, as he's capable of playing center or either guard position.
20. Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Anthony Castonzo, OT, Boston College: With an obvious need at defensive end, many are plugging in a pass rusher for the Bucs and that could certainly wind up happening. Insiders tell me, however, that Tampa Bay is looking closely at this year's offensive tackle class, as well, as they fully realize the importance of protecting their young franchise quarterback Josh Freeman and anticipate there being a great deal of value at offensive tackle at this point in the first round. Castonzo, NFLDraftScout.com's top-rated senior offensive tackle, starred at left tackle for Boston College, but could slide over to the right to give the Bucs a talented set of bookend tackles along with Donald Penn.
21. Kansas City Chiefs
Phil Taylor, DT, Baylor: With top five overall picks invested into Glenn Dorsey (2008) and Tyson Jackson (2009) in two of the past three drafts, it might seem odd for the Chiefs to once again turn to this position in the first round, but doing so fits the precedent Scott Pioli previously established with the Patriots, when he and Bill Belichick drafted Richard Seymour (2001), Ty Warren (2003) and Vince Wilfork (2004) to build their vaunted 3-4 scheme. The 6-3, 334-pound Taylor is the draft's preeminent nose guard and would give the Chiefs a powerful run-stuffing presence in the middle.
22. Indianapolis Colts
Derek Sherrod, OT, Mississippi State : GM Bill Polian suggested after the season that he may have made a mistake in not drafting Indiana offensive tackle Rodger Saffold with the 31st pick of the first round last year. Saffold went on to star with the Rams. Don't expect the Colts to pass up a similarly gifted blocker this year. Sherrod is knocked, as Saffold was, by some because he doesn't play with a mean streak but he's the most pro-ready blocker in this draft.
23. Philadelphia Eagles
Gabe Carimi, OT, Wisconsin: Depending on how the Eagles feel about their starting right tackle, Winston Justice, and his chances of staying healthy for next season, the team could go in another direction with this pick. Carimi, the Outland Trophy winner at left tackle, projects best on the right side in the NFL. Selecting a right tackle with enhanced pass-blocking skills as compared to current backup King Dunlap would be wise, especially considering he'll be protecting the blindside of left-handed starting quarterback Michael Vick.
24. New Orleans Saints
Muhammad Wilkerson, DT, Temple: The Saints' inability to get to the quarterback proved to be their Achilles' heel in the surprising playoff loss at Seattle. Rather than simply adding a pass rusher, defensive coordinator Gregg Williams might opt for a versatile defender like Wilkerson, who could provide size inside on first and second down and slide outside on third down to free up former Pro Bowler Will Smith.
25. Seattle Seahawks
Corey Liuget, DT, Illinois : The Seahawks' greatest long-term need is undoubtedly at quarterback, but the team has plenty of holes along the offensive and defensive lines, as well. Sticking with the best player available philosophy, Seattle would be wise to consider Liuget, an explosive three-technique defensive tackle capable of helping immediately.
26. Baltimore Ravens
Jimmy Smith, CB, Colorado : I've had scouts compare the 6-2, 211-pound Smith to former Ravens Pro Bowler Chris McAlister. If not for off-field concerns, the Buffalo cornerback would be a top 15 pick. Ozzie Newsome is known for his willingness to look past character red flags and consistently find falling stars in the second half of the first round. In Smith, he'd potentially find another one. Even better, Smith would provide help in a key area of need.
27. Atlanta Falcons
Adrian Clayborn, DE, Iowa : The Falcons established themselves as one of the elite teams in the NFL last season, but their inability to slow Aaron Rodgers and the Packers proved a fatal flaw in the postseason. Adding another pass rusher to pair with John Abraham makes a lot of sense, especially considering this year's extraordinary depth at the position. Concerns about Clayborn's decline in production in 2010 and a medical condition called Erb's Palsy which Clayborn suffered when being born are given as reasons why this former Hawkeye could slip on draft day. On tape, however, Clayborn is clearly a top 20 prospect who has shown no evidence that the condition has ever affected his play.
28. New England Patriots
Danny Watkins, OG, Baylor : With two first-round picks and three picks in the top 33, don't be surprised if the Patriots address their concerns along the offensive line sooner rather than later. Watkins erased any concerns about his ability to quickly make the adjustment from his customary left tackle position to guard with his stellar performance throughout the Senior Bowl week, and is precisely the type of blue-collar worker Bill Belichick has built his offensive line around in the past.
29. Chicago Bears
Nate Solder, OT, Colorado : A former tight end, Solder's rare combination of size (6-8, 319) and athleticism (led all OL with a 4.34 short shuttle) makes him one of the more intriguing offensive tackles in this class and a virtual lock for the first round. Giving up so much leverage at his size, some teams might be nervous about Solder's marginal strength (21 reps at the Combine), which could push him down the board. Mike Tice, a bust as a head coach but one of the league's elite offensive line gurus, could help turn Solder's potential into Pro Bowls.
30. NY Jets
Akeem Ayers, OLB, UCLA : Largely due to the presence of Darrelle Revis, the Jets' secondary is one of the league's stingiest. Imagine how much better they'd be if the team was able to rush the passer consistently. The Jets' 40 sacks last season is a strong total (tied for eighth in the NFL), but Bryan Thomas led the team with only six sacks. Ayers' steadied his stock with an impressive performance at his Pro Day and is creeping back into the conversation for the top 25.
31. Pittsburgh Steelers
Aaron Williams, CB, Texas : The Steelers' secondary let them down in the Super Bowl and their top cornerback -- Ike Taylor -- is scheduled for free agency. Whether he remains on the team or not, Pittsburgh will almost surely address their defensive backfield on draft day. Some teams believe Williams can remain at cornerback. Others see his best fit at free safety. Both are concerns for the Steelers, making Williams a logical candidate at this spot.
32. Green Bay Packers
Marvin Austin, DT, North Carolina: Austin was viewed as a surefire top 20-pick before he was suspended last season. He's worked hard to rehabilitate his image and scouts can't help but acknowledge his talent. Most teams feel he projects best as a defensive tackle in the 4-3 alignment, as he starred for the Tar Heels. Packers' general manager Ted Thompson has been willing to use shorter defensive linemen outside, however, including 6-2, 305-pounder Cullen Jenkins, who is scheduled for free agency and 6-3, 325-pounder Johnny Jolly who is facing jail time for drug charges. With their future in doubt, Thompson might consider Austin (6-2, 309 pounds) here as a replacement.
Round 2
33. New England Patriots (from Carolina)
Cameron Heyward, DE, Ohio State : The Patriots secure a pass rusher and pass protector in the first round, and grab depth at the five-technique.
34. Buffalo Bills
Kyle Rudolph, TE, Notre Dame: No team got less from their tight ends last season (11 receptions) than the Bills
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35. Cincinnati Bengals
Torrey Smith, WR, Maryland : Smith provides a speed threat, return skills and insurance in case Chad Ochocinco isn't back this year or prospective free agents Jerome Simpson and Andre Caldwell leave after next season.
36. Denver Broncos
Jabaal Sheard, DE, Pittsburgh: The Broncos can't afford to gamble that Robert Ayers is going to suddenly explode onto the scene.
37. Cleveland Browns
Christian Ballard, DE, Iowa: Ballard has rare athleticism and would have been a first-round pick had he made more plays at Iowa.
38. Arizona Cardinals
Brooks Reed, OLB, Arizona : Needing many outside pass rushers, the Cardinals double-up with a local standout.
39. Tennessee Titans
Ryan Mallett, QB, Arkansas : Mallett isn't as much of a gamble in the second round as he would've been in the first and possesses the big arm necessary to take advantage of defenses crowding the box to stop Chris Johnson.
40. Dallas Cowboys
Davon House, CB, New Mexico State: Possessing size and speed to burn, House would give the Cowboys some depth in the secondary.
41. Washington Redskins
Stephen Paea, DT, Oregon State : Paea might not be the ideal fit at nose guard, but the Redskins can't afford to be too picky, considering they need help at the position and don't have another pick until the fifth round.
42. Houston Texans
Brandon Harris, CB, Miami (Fla.) : Harris lacks the prototypical height for the position, but has the coverage and open-field tackling skills to contribute immediately.
43. Minnesota Vikings
Christian Ponder, QB, Florida State : Smart, mobile and accurate in the short to intermediate levels, Ponder could step in and contribute early for the Vikings.
44. Detroit Lions
Benjamin Ijalana, OG, Villanova : A star at left tackle for Villanova, some teams feel he could play any of the four exterior positions, though questions about his level of competition likely keeps him in the second round.
45. San Francisco 49ers
Rodney Hudson, C, Florida State : Rather than reach for a quarterback, the 49ers continue to improve their offensive line with the steady, reliable Hudson.
46. Denver Broncos
Martez Wilson, ILB, Illinois : Needing an inside thumper at middle linebacker to free up the playmaking DJ Williams, the Broncos gamble on Wilson's upside.
47. St. Louis Rams
Justin Houston, OLB, Georgia : Possessing a burst upfield that could get him drafted in the first round, Houston could slip as teams question where he fits best in the NFL.
48. Oakland Raiders
Stefen Wisniewski, C, Penn State : Considering Al Davis' love of his former Raider greats and the team's need on the interior, don't be surprised if there is another Wisniewski wearing the Silver and Black.
49. Jacksonville Jaguars
Rahim Moore, FS, UCLA: Having shipped former first-round pick Reggie Nelson to the Bengals last September, the Jaguars will have to consider Moore, NFLDraftScout.com's top-rated free safety, to fill a longstanding position of need.
50. San Diego Chargers
Marcus Cannon, OT, TCU : The Chargers would like to add depth on the offensive line and could fall in love with Cannon's size and stunning athleticism as a potential replacement for Jeromey Clary at right tackle.
51. Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Allen Bailey, DE, Miami (Fla.) : Through patience and good coaching the Bucs reaped the benefits of young, talented players last season. Can they coax the talent out of Bailey too?
52. NY Giants
Quan Sturdivant, ILB, North Carolina: The Giants' recent draft picks at linebacker have been limited by a lack of durability and overall poor play. Sturdivant is considered one of the safer options at the position in this class.
53. Indianapolis Colts
Mikel LeShoure, RB, Illinois : Slipping lower than he should, LeShoure would provide the Colts with a power option behind Donald Brown, who is expected to take on the full-time job with Joseph Addai scheduled for free agency.
54. Philadelphia Eagles
Curtis Brown, CB, Texas : Asante Samuel has one side of the field locked down for the Eagles, but the team could use some athleticism on the other.
55. Kansas City Chiefs
Randall Cobb, WR, Kentucky : The Chiefs need another playmaker to take the pressure off of Dwayne Bowe and would be fortunate if Cobb is still on the board here.
56. New Orleans Saints
DeMarco Murray, RB, Oklahoma : A similar playmaking threat similar to Reggie Bush, Murray would give the Saints plenty of options should they elect to move on without Bush.
57. Seattle Seahawks
Andy Dalton, QB, TCU : The Seahawks gamble that Dalton's winning ways don't end at the collegiate level.
58. Baltimore Ravens
Leonard Hankerson, WR, Miami (Fla.) : Needing a downfield target to make use of Joe Flacco's big arm, Baltimore once again turns to The U.
59. Atlanta Falcons
Chimdi Chekwa, CB, Ohio State: With a pass rusher in the first round, the Falcons can turn to their secondary in Round Two.
60. New England Patriots
Ryan Williams, RB, Virginia Tech : A quick and a reliable receiver out of the backfield, Williams' versatility makes a lot of sense for the Patriots.
61. San Diego Chargers
Jon Baldwin, WR, Pittsburgh : Like a moth to a flame, A.J. Smith can't help but fall for big, athletic receivers.
62. Chicago Bears
Drake Nevis, DT, LSU : Needing a classic three-technique to take over for the released Tommie Harris, the Bears would be pleased to find the ultra-quick Nevis available late in the second round.
63. Pittsburgh Steelers
James Carpenter, OT, Alabama: A tough, no-nonsense player with two seasons starting at left tackle in the SEC, Carpenter would be a great value for the Steelers at this point in the draft.
64. Green Bay Packers
Ras-I Dowling, CB, Virginia: Only a senior season ravaged by injury would allow Dowling, one of the draft's more intriguing press corners to fall to this point.
Senior Analyst - NFLDraftScout.com
In a typical year, by the first week of April the opening round of the NFL Draft has begun to crystallize.
Of course, with the end of the Collective Bargaining Agreement, this offseason has been anything but predictable.
NFLDraftScout.com has identified the top players in the 2011 draft, but projecting the order in which they are drafted is significantly more difficult as teams haven't been able to fill needs via free agency or trade. Some teams will follow their time-honored tradition of taking the best player available. Others simply don't have that luxury and have positions that must be filled via the draft.
This could lead to a run on pass rushers and quarterbacks -- the most important positions on each side of the ball.
To better demonstrate an anticipated run at a certain position and how they could shape the 2011 Draft, here is my initial projection of the first two rounds.
NFL Mock Draft - 4/4/2011
Round 1
1. Carolina Panthers
Cam Newton, QB, Auburn: There are plenty of reasons why the Panthers might elect to go in another direction with this pick. As general manager Marty Hurney recently put it in an in-studio interview with the "Mac Attack" on local Charlotte sports radio 610 AM The Fan, however, the first pick of the draft needs to be "the player who will have the most impact on your organization." Newton, more than any other player in this draft, has that potential.
2. Denver Broncos
Marcell Dareus, DT, Alabama : The Broncos have a variety of needs, but none bigger than at defensive tackle. Denver finished 31st in the NFL in run defense last year and recently released former starters Justin Bannan and Jamal Williams. Dareus is the best run-stuffing defensive tackle in this class and among the safer picks. Barring a trade down, he should be a no-brainer here.
3. Buffalo Bills
Von Miller, OLB, Texas A&M : To have a chance in the highly competitive AFC East, the Bills must address their needs on defense. Buffalo was unable to consistently put pressure on the quarterback last season, finishing with only 27 sacks, tied for the third-worst total in the NFL. Of those 27 sacks, a scant six came from their outside linebackers. The Bills know Miller better than anyone, having coached him at the Senior Bowl, and would have to consider him at this spot.
4. Cincinnati Bengals
Blaine Gabbert, QB, Missouri : The Bengals seem convinced that Carson Palmer will indeed follow through with his pledge to retire if he isn't traded. The Bengals are notorious for their unwillingness to bend in these negotiations with prior players and, until a new CBA is reached, don't have the option of trading Palmer. Therefore, if Gabbert, NFLDraftScout.com's top-rated quarterback, is available, the Missouri passer is likely to be the Bengals' pick.
5. Arizona Cardinals
Robert Quinn, DE, North Carolina: Finishing 5-11 last season, the Cardinals may not appear close to playoff contention, but with improved pass rush and quarterback play, they might emerge in a very winnable NFC West. Insiders believe the Cardinals are most interested in finding a veteran quarterback. Along with Von Miller, Quinn is the draft's elite pass rusher and would make more of an immediate impact than any other player available.
6. Cleveland Browns
A.J. Green, WR, Georgia: If the Browns believe that Colt McCoy is a franchise quarterback, they'll need to add weapons to help him. There should be internal debate at this pick as Nick Fairley could give the club the standout defensive lineman they need in their conversion to the 4-3. If Cleveland is comfortable with Fairley's character red-flags, he'll take priority over a receiver. Green isn't even necessarily the best fit for Cleveland, as Alabama's Julio Jones is the more classic fit in the West Coast Offense. Green was the better player for the past three years in the SEC.
7. San Francisco 49ers
Patrick Peterson, CB, LSU - The 49ers would be fortunate if the draft fell this way as Peterson, arguably the top prospect in the entire class, would fall into their lap simply because teams ahead of them have bigger areas of need. So do the 49ers, but the ball-hawking Peterson could make an immediate impact in San Francisco on the defensive side of the ball and push the disappointing Ted Ginn, Jr. for the starting punt returner job.
8. Tennessee Titans
Nick Fairley, DT, Auburn: The Titans have other needs, but could have a hard time passing up Fairley, arguably the draft's most talented player, should he be available here. Tennessee hired Tracy Rocker to be their defensive line coach in February. Rocker was Fairley's defensive line coach at Auburn the past two seasons. If his former position coach doesn't feel strongly enough to bang the table to get the 2010 Lombardi Trophy winner inside the building, Fairley could be in for a slide right out of the top 10.
9. Dallas Cowboys
Tyron Smith, OT, Southern California : Doug Free played well enough in his first season at left tackle, but too many others along the Cowboys' offensive line struggled, including right tackle Marc Columbo, whose chronic knee problems have limited his lateral mobility. Smith erased any concerns about his mobility with a strong Pro Day performance and the Cowboys had a large contingent on hand to see the workout, including head coach Jason Garrett and director of scouting Tom Ciskowski. The Cowboys also scheduled Smith for a private visit.
10. Washington Redskins
Jake Locker, QB, Washington : Though it would be a surprise to see the Redskins take Locker here (but not out of the question), with only two picks (No. 10, No. 41) before the fifth round, the Redskins will be looking at trade-down options and could be targeting the former Washington passer if they are successful in doing so. Mike Shanahan is thought to be quite high on Locker's mobility, arm strength and intangibles and there is no doubt that the former Husky fits in nicely with Shanahan's offense, which relies heavily on quarterback rollouts.
11. Houston Texans
Cameron Jordan, DE, California : The Texans would love to see one of the top two outside linebackers available at this spot but without a minor miracle, that isn't going to happen. The team, according to insiders, doesn't appear to be sold on Missouri's Aldon Smith's ability to make this transition. If so, rather than panic, the Texans would be wise to add Jordan, the 6-4, 287-pound Senior Bowl and Combine standout who has a proven track record of starring in the 3-4 scheme while at Cal.
12. Minnesota Vikings
Da'Quan Bowers, DE, Clemson : Bowers' disappointing Pro Day workout could have a significant impact on his draft stock, pushing the nation's leading sacker right out of the top 10. The Vikings have other, bigger concerns, but with Ray Edwards likely to be one of the most sought-after free agents (assuming there is free agency before the start of the 2011 season), Minnesota could have this cheaper and younger replacement fall into their lap. Bowers, who underwent surgery to repair a torn meniscus following the season, will be among the more heavily scrutinized players at the Combine re-checks this week. Should team doctors red-flag his knee, he could fall a lot further than this.
13. Detroit Lions
Prince Amukamara, CB, Nebraska : The Lions would be fortunate to see Amukamara, a legitimate top 10 prospect, still on the board at this point. Having hit the lottery with a Cornhusker last year in All-Pro defensive tackle Ndamukong Suh, Detroit wouldn't waste any time turning in their card and erasing their need for an infusion of size, speed and physicality at cornerback.
14. St. Louis Rams
Julio Jones, WR, Alabama : The Rams have their young franchise quarterback in Sam Bradford and a workhorse runner in All-Pro Steven Jackson, but desperately need help outside. Jones isn't as fast on the field as he was at the Combine, but his size, strength and three years of consistent standout play in the ultra-competitive SEC make him an ideal candidate to make an immediate impact.
15. Miami Dolphins
Mark Ingram, RB, Alabama : There is a growing consensus throughout the league that if Ingram isn't selected by the Dolphins - who need a running back with Ronnie Brown and Ricky Williams each scheduled for free agency - that the 2009 Heisman winner could slip to the end of the first round or even into the second round. Clearly, running back isn't the valued position it once was, but backs with Ingram's vision, balance, toughness and ball security (only two lost fumbles in 453 career touches) are still worth a first-round pick.
16. Jacksonville Jaguars
Ryan Kerrigan, DE, Purdue: The Jaguars surprised many with the selection of Tyson Alualu in the first round. Though the selection was panned by many, I thought the former Cal defender was one of the "safest" defensive linemen in the draft. Kerrigan is a similarly safe pick. The Big Ten Defensive Player of the Year in 2010, Kerrigan leaves Purdue with 33.5 sacks, 57 tackles for loss and a Big Ten-record 14 career forced fumbles.
17. New England Patriots (from Oakland)
Aldon Smith, DE, Missouri: The Patriots surprised many with their 14-2 record last season despite plenty of youth on defense, but the team can't survive counting on Tully Banta-Cain to be its top sack producer. The Patriots only received 10 sacks from their outside linebackers in 2010. Not every team is convinced that Smith, a defensive end at Missouri, can make the adjustment to outside linebacker, but he is a natural pass rusher who has the size (6-4, 263) that Bill Belichick prefers for the position.
18. San Diego Chargers
J.J. Watt, DE, Wisconsin: Nose guard Antonio Garay emerged as a standout in the middle for the Chargers and the team has a solid starter at one defensive end spot in Luis Castillo. The other side is a concern as Jacques Cesaire is better suited to play a backup role. Watt has the size (6-6, 290), athleticism and tenacity that every 3-4 defense is looking for at the five-technique and would be a great value here.
19. NY Giants
Mike Pouncey, OG, Florida : Age and injuries crumbled the offensive line of the Giants last season, especially on the interior. Pouncey has the size, physicality and athleticism to immediately compete in the combative NFC East division and would give New York a lot of flexibility inside, as he's capable of playing center or either guard position.
20. Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Anthony Castonzo, OT, Boston College: With an obvious need at defensive end, many are plugging in a pass rusher for the Bucs and that could certainly wind up happening. Insiders tell me, however, that Tampa Bay is looking closely at this year's offensive tackle class, as well, as they fully realize the importance of protecting their young franchise quarterback Josh Freeman and anticipate there being a great deal of value at offensive tackle at this point in the first round. Castonzo, NFLDraftScout.com's top-rated senior offensive tackle, starred at left tackle for Boston College, but could slide over to the right to give the Bucs a talented set of bookend tackles along with Donald Penn.
21. Kansas City Chiefs
Phil Taylor, DT, Baylor: With top five overall picks invested into Glenn Dorsey (2008) and Tyson Jackson (2009) in two of the past three drafts, it might seem odd for the Chiefs to once again turn to this position in the first round, but doing so fits the precedent Scott Pioli previously established with the Patriots, when he and Bill Belichick drafted Richard Seymour (2001), Ty Warren (2003) and Vince Wilfork (2004) to build their vaunted 3-4 scheme. The 6-3, 334-pound Taylor is the draft's preeminent nose guard and would give the Chiefs a powerful run-stuffing presence in the middle.
22. Indianapolis Colts
Derek Sherrod, OT, Mississippi State : GM Bill Polian suggested after the season that he may have made a mistake in not drafting Indiana offensive tackle Rodger Saffold with the 31st pick of the first round last year. Saffold went on to star with the Rams. Don't expect the Colts to pass up a similarly gifted blocker this year. Sherrod is knocked, as Saffold was, by some because he doesn't play with a mean streak but he's the most pro-ready blocker in this draft.
23. Philadelphia Eagles
Gabe Carimi, OT, Wisconsin: Depending on how the Eagles feel about their starting right tackle, Winston Justice, and his chances of staying healthy for next season, the team could go in another direction with this pick. Carimi, the Outland Trophy winner at left tackle, projects best on the right side in the NFL. Selecting a right tackle with enhanced pass-blocking skills as compared to current backup King Dunlap would be wise, especially considering he'll be protecting the blindside of left-handed starting quarterback Michael Vick.
24. New Orleans Saints
Muhammad Wilkerson, DT, Temple: The Saints' inability to get to the quarterback proved to be their Achilles' heel in the surprising playoff loss at Seattle. Rather than simply adding a pass rusher, defensive coordinator Gregg Williams might opt for a versatile defender like Wilkerson, who could provide size inside on first and second down and slide outside on third down to free up former Pro Bowler Will Smith.
25. Seattle Seahawks
Corey Liuget, DT, Illinois : The Seahawks' greatest long-term need is undoubtedly at quarterback, but the team has plenty of holes along the offensive and defensive lines, as well. Sticking with the best player available philosophy, Seattle would be wise to consider Liuget, an explosive three-technique defensive tackle capable of helping immediately.
26. Baltimore Ravens
Jimmy Smith, CB, Colorado : I've had scouts compare the 6-2, 211-pound Smith to former Ravens Pro Bowler Chris McAlister. If not for off-field concerns, the Buffalo cornerback would be a top 15 pick. Ozzie Newsome is known for his willingness to look past character red flags and consistently find falling stars in the second half of the first round. In Smith, he'd potentially find another one. Even better, Smith would provide help in a key area of need.
27. Atlanta Falcons
Adrian Clayborn, DE, Iowa : The Falcons established themselves as one of the elite teams in the NFL last season, but their inability to slow Aaron Rodgers and the Packers proved a fatal flaw in the postseason. Adding another pass rusher to pair with John Abraham makes a lot of sense, especially considering this year's extraordinary depth at the position. Concerns about Clayborn's decline in production in 2010 and a medical condition called Erb's Palsy which Clayborn suffered when being born are given as reasons why this former Hawkeye could slip on draft day. On tape, however, Clayborn is clearly a top 20 prospect who has shown no evidence that the condition has ever affected his play.
28. New England Patriots
Danny Watkins, OG, Baylor : With two first-round picks and three picks in the top 33, don't be surprised if the Patriots address their concerns along the offensive line sooner rather than later. Watkins erased any concerns about his ability to quickly make the adjustment from his customary left tackle position to guard with his stellar performance throughout the Senior Bowl week, and is precisely the type of blue-collar worker Bill Belichick has built his offensive line around in the past.
29. Chicago Bears
Nate Solder, OT, Colorado : A former tight end, Solder's rare combination of size (6-8, 319) and athleticism (led all OL with a 4.34 short shuttle) makes him one of the more intriguing offensive tackles in this class and a virtual lock for the first round. Giving up so much leverage at his size, some teams might be nervous about Solder's marginal strength (21 reps at the Combine), which could push him down the board. Mike Tice, a bust as a head coach but one of the league's elite offensive line gurus, could help turn Solder's potential into Pro Bowls.
30. NY Jets
Akeem Ayers, OLB, UCLA : Largely due to the presence of Darrelle Revis, the Jets' secondary is one of the league's stingiest. Imagine how much better they'd be if the team was able to rush the passer consistently. The Jets' 40 sacks last season is a strong total (tied for eighth in the NFL), but Bryan Thomas led the team with only six sacks. Ayers' steadied his stock with an impressive performance at his Pro Day and is creeping back into the conversation for the top 25.
31. Pittsburgh Steelers
Aaron Williams, CB, Texas : The Steelers' secondary let them down in the Super Bowl and their top cornerback -- Ike Taylor -- is scheduled for free agency. Whether he remains on the team or not, Pittsburgh will almost surely address their defensive backfield on draft day. Some teams believe Williams can remain at cornerback. Others see his best fit at free safety. Both are concerns for the Steelers, making Williams a logical candidate at this spot.
32. Green Bay Packers
Marvin Austin, DT, North Carolina: Austin was viewed as a surefire top 20-pick before he was suspended last season. He's worked hard to rehabilitate his image and scouts can't help but acknowledge his talent. Most teams feel he projects best as a defensive tackle in the 4-3 alignment, as he starred for the Tar Heels. Packers' general manager Ted Thompson has been willing to use shorter defensive linemen outside, however, including 6-2, 305-pounder Cullen Jenkins, who is scheduled for free agency and 6-3, 325-pounder Johnny Jolly who is facing jail time for drug charges. With their future in doubt, Thompson might consider Austin (6-2, 309 pounds) here as a replacement.
Round 2
33. New England Patriots (from Carolina)
Cameron Heyward, DE, Ohio State : The Patriots secure a pass rusher and pass protector in the first round, and grab depth at the five-technique.
34. Buffalo Bills
Kyle Rudolph, TE, Notre Dame: No team got less from their tight ends last season (11 receptions) than the Bills
.
35. Cincinnati Bengals
Torrey Smith, WR, Maryland : Smith provides a speed threat, return skills and insurance in case Chad Ochocinco isn't back this year or prospective free agents Jerome Simpson and Andre Caldwell leave after next season.
36. Denver Broncos
Jabaal Sheard, DE, Pittsburgh: The Broncos can't afford to gamble that Robert Ayers is going to suddenly explode onto the scene.
37. Cleveland Browns
Christian Ballard, DE, Iowa: Ballard has rare athleticism and would have been a first-round pick had he made more plays at Iowa.
38. Arizona Cardinals
Brooks Reed, OLB, Arizona : Needing many outside pass rushers, the Cardinals double-up with a local standout.
39. Tennessee Titans
Ryan Mallett, QB, Arkansas : Mallett isn't as much of a gamble in the second round as he would've been in the first and possesses the big arm necessary to take advantage of defenses crowding the box to stop Chris Johnson.
40. Dallas Cowboys
Davon House, CB, New Mexico State: Possessing size and speed to burn, House would give the Cowboys some depth in the secondary.
41. Washington Redskins
Stephen Paea, DT, Oregon State : Paea might not be the ideal fit at nose guard, but the Redskins can't afford to be too picky, considering they need help at the position and don't have another pick until the fifth round.
42. Houston Texans
Brandon Harris, CB, Miami (Fla.) : Harris lacks the prototypical height for the position, but has the coverage and open-field tackling skills to contribute immediately.
43. Minnesota Vikings
Christian Ponder, QB, Florida State : Smart, mobile and accurate in the short to intermediate levels, Ponder could step in and contribute early for the Vikings.
44. Detroit Lions
Benjamin Ijalana, OG, Villanova : A star at left tackle for Villanova, some teams feel he could play any of the four exterior positions, though questions about his level of competition likely keeps him in the second round.
45. San Francisco 49ers
Rodney Hudson, C, Florida State : Rather than reach for a quarterback, the 49ers continue to improve their offensive line with the steady, reliable Hudson.
46. Denver Broncos
Martez Wilson, ILB, Illinois : Needing an inside thumper at middle linebacker to free up the playmaking DJ Williams, the Broncos gamble on Wilson's upside.
47. St. Louis Rams
Justin Houston, OLB, Georgia : Possessing a burst upfield that could get him drafted in the first round, Houston could slip as teams question where he fits best in the NFL.
48. Oakland Raiders
Stefen Wisniewski, C, Penn State : Considering Al Davis' love of his former Raider greats and the team's need on the interior, don't be surprised if there is another Wisniewski wearing the Silver and Black.
49. Jacksonville Jaguars
Rahim Moore, FS, UCLA: Having shipped former first-round pick Reggie Nelson to the Bengals last September, the Jaguars will have to consider Moore, NFLDraftScout.com's top-rated free safety, to fill a longstanding position of need.
50. San Diego Chargers
Marcus Cannon, OT, TCU : The Chargers would like to add depth on the offensive line and could fall in love with Cannon's size and stunning athleticism as a potential replacement for Jeromey Clary at right tackle.
51. Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Allen Bailey, DE, Miami (Fla.) : Through patience and good coaching the Bucs reaped the benefits of young, talented players last season. Can they coax the talent out of Bailey too?
52. NY Giants
Quan Sturdivant, ILB, North Carolina: The Giants' recent draft picks at linebacker have been limited by a lack of durability and overall poor play. Sturdivant is considered one of the safer options at the position in this class.
53. Indianapolis Colts
Mikel LeShoure, RB, Illinois : Slipping lower than he should, LeShoure would provide the Colts with a power option behind Donald Brown, who is expected to take on the full-time job with Joseph Addai scheduled for free agency.
54. Philadelphia Eagles
Curtis Brown, CB, Texas : Asante Samuel has one side of the field locked down for the Eagles, but the team could use some athleticism on the other.
55. Kansas City Chiefs
Randall Cobb, WR, Kentucky : The Chiefs need another playmaker to take the pressure off of Dwayne Bowe and would be fortunate if Cobb is still on the board here.
56. New Orleans Saints
DeMarco Murray, RB, Oklahoma : A similar playmaking threat similar to Reggie Bush, Murray would give the Saints plenty of options should they elect to move on without Bush.
57. Seattle Seahawks
Andy Dalton, QB, TCU : The Seahawks gamble that Dalton's winning ways don't end at the collegiate level.
58. Baltimore Ravens
Leonard Hankerson, WR, Miami (Fla.) : Needing a downfield target to make use of Joe Flacco's big arm, Baltimore once again turns to The U.
59. Atlanta Falcons
Chimdi Chekwa, CB, Ohio State: With a pass rusher in the first round, the Falcons can turn to their secondary in Round Two.
60. New England Patriots
Ryan Williams, RB, Virginia Tech : A quick and a reliable receiver out of the backfield, Williams' versatility makes a lot of sense for the Patriots.
61. San Diego Chargers
Jon Baldwin, WR, Pittsburgh : Like a moth to a flame, A.J. Smith can't help but fall for big, athletic receivers.
62. Chicago Bears
Drake Nevis, DT, LSU : Needing a classic three-technique to take over for the released Tommie Harris, the Bears would be pleased to find the ultra-quick Nevis available late in the second round.
63. Pittsburgh Steelers
James Carpenter, OT, Alabama: A tough, no-nonsense player with two seasons starting at left tackle in the SEC, Carpenter would be a great value for the Steelers at this point in the draft.
64. Green Bay Packers
Ras-I Dowling, CB, Virginia: Only a senior season ravaged by injury would allow Dowling, one of the draft's more intriguing press corners to fall to this point.
