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The grades were higher this year, with Cincy and Detroit earning the top marks
By Mel Kiper Jr.
ESPN Insider
We changed the draft grades a little this year. Now, the obvious complaint we always hear is, "You can't really grade a draft for a few years." Not true. You can't assess the performance of the players drafted for a few years, but you can assess the degree to which teams maximized value while filling needs. That's what this is. I ask: To what degree did teams fill roster gaps? And with each selection, did they get the most possible value out of that spot on the board? Then we balance the two.
To make the process a little more clear in 2011, we added grades for both "Needs" and "Value" which factor into the overall grade. On my scale, a B grade is pretty solid. It means you consistently hit needs and found value in the process. Higher than that implies exceptional value at need positions; below that means there was more hit and miss. So don't see a "C" grade and assume a bad draft. It simply implies more of a mixed bag. With an explanation in place, let's hand out some grades for the 2011 NFL draft.
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Detroit Lions
Top needs: CB, OLB, OT, DE
Summary: Detroit hit home runs all over in terms of value, but the question is whether the Lions did enough to help the talent level in a way that can further conceal weaknesses. For example, Fairley at No. 13 is perhaps the steal of the draft -- imagine what the Lions can do up front now -- but will the pass rush now be so good that it can mask the personnel issues that dot the secondary? Leshoure adds more potency at running back, but can this offensive line open enough holes? The Lions should be concerned about how well they can block in both the run and passing games, and didn't get an offensive lineman until No. 209 overall. Matthew Stafford's health is such a huge concern. But even after those questions, the value was oustanding. Fairley, Young, Leshoure and even Hogue could have gone earlier. Is it possible to love a Detroit draft when the Lions didn't add major help at cornerback or offensive tackle? Ask me after free agency, I guess.
Needs: C+
Value: A+
Overall: A-
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Cincinnati Bengals
Top needs: DE, WR, RB, OLB
Summary: They've received their fair share of negativity over the years, but you have to give the Bengals a lot of credit for what they accomplished in 2011. They can see the big roster voids on the horizon at quarterback and wide receiver, and they didn't wait. Green is a superstar in the making, and considering the run on quarterbacks before the middle of the first round, getting Dalton was a steal by comparison. Moch is a pass-rushing specialist that will make plays, and they got good value in Boling and Sands. A great three days for the Bengals.
Needs: B+
Value: A
Overall: A-
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San Diego Chargers
Top needs: WR, DE, S, OT
Summary: San Diego had a really quietly effective three days. Liuget is a player that provides immediate help on a depleted defensive line, Gilchrist and Wright both can get on the field for the Chargers at corner, and I think Todman could be a steal down in the sixth round. Mouton may have been a bit of a reach, but you need linebacker depth in that system, and outside of Liuget, you see a number of players on this board that might be able to help what was a disastrous special teams unit in 2010. I might have preferred an offensive tackle taken where Mouton was picked in the third round, but the Chargers targeted needs pretty effectively otherwise.
Needs: A-
Value: B-
Overall: B+
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Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Top needs: DE, CB, WR, OLB
Summary: Last year, the Bucs made it clear that the defensive line was a key, drafting defensive tackles with their first two picks. Problem was, they didn't get any production from the defensive end position in 2010. Well, Clayborn will help in 2011, and Bowers could be an all-timer as a steal if he's healthy. That's the skill-set of a top-5 pick all the way down at No. 51. Foster offers help at linebacker, and suddenly the Bucs have to feel really good about the front seven. The question now is in the secondary, where they didn't get anyone until Black was selected at No. 151. Stocker came into 2010 as a much higher likely pick, so he could be a good value if he shows some of that form.
Needs: A-
Value: B+
Overall: B+
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Cleveland Browns
Top needs: WR, DE, LB, RT
Summary: You would think Cleveland trading down and piling up picks for this year and into the next two years would be good enough, but once the picks started, Browns fans should have been even more pleased. Taylor may have been a bit of a reach, but he's the best clogger in the draft, and those guys aren't easy to find. The Sheard pick made a lot of sense, and Little is a really good value as a potential big, down-the-field threat for Colt McCoy. I would have liked to have seen the Browns get a linebacker and some help at right tackle, but given what they did in terms of adding future picks, the grade in this draft is also something that will truly extend to later drafts.
Needs: B
Value: B-
Overall: B+
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Pittsburgh Steelers
Top needs: OT, CB, DL, WR
Summary: This was a typically unflashy draft, but what I consider an effective one for Pittsburgh. (And it's hard to be flashy when you always pick late.) The Steelers needed to get younger at defensive end and they added Heyward within a good value range. They needed a tackle and they added Gilbert. They really needed corner help and got a really good value in Brown at No. 95, then pegged Allen in Round 4. Carter is a guy Dick LeBeau can develop. Solid weekend for Pittsburgh.
Needs: A-
Value: B-
Overall: B+
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Indianapolis Colts
Top needs: OT, OG, DT, WR
Summary: The Colts started springing leaks on the offensive line in 2010, as Peyton Manning faced more pressure and the running game all but stalled. Bill Polian clearly had his priorities in order, adding immediate help on the offensive line with his first two picks. Castonzo isn't seen as a really high-ceiling tackle, but he's a very good one, always healthy and with good feet, making him a potential long-term solution on the blindside. Ijalana can convert to guard and be effective. Indy also needed help on the defensive interior and got a pretty good value fit with Nevis in the third round. Rucker can be a pretty good player when he's focused on football. He has a chance to outplay that spot on the board.
Needs: A-
Value: B
Overall: B+
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Green Bay Packers
Top needs: OT, OLB, DE, OG
Summary: The Packers are clearly confident in the resourcefulness of defensive coordinator Dom Capers. They can score points on anybody, but still went after needs on offense with their first three picks. This team knows success starts with protecting Aaron Rodgers and Sherrod was a player they may have felt lucky to have the chance to pick at No. 32. Cobb is a nice little player that can work the slot and is great in the locker room, and Green is a really good running back not many people have seen. Where I do have a questions is Green Bay comes away with no real help in rushing the passer unless it hits on one of those really late picks. This is a team that needs to limit its dependency on Clay Matthews, but didn't do much to help him. The upshot is this is a team that essentially "drafts" a number of players relegated to the disabled list last year. All in all, not half bad.
Needs: B+
Value: B
Overall: B+
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Baltimore Ravens
Top needs: CB, WR, LB, S
Summary: Last year, the Ravens got a lot good value but didn't get much out of the class in 2010. This year, they again got a lot of good value, but also hit on some players that could fill holes a little earlier. The big name is Jimmy Smith, who has the talent to go higher, but could use the guidance that a player like Ray Lewis can provide. Given that cornerback was the biggest need on my board for Baltimore, a value like Smith should have them thrilled. The Ravens also need a wideout who can stretch the field, and got one with Torrey Smith of Maryland. He's a burner. I would have liked to see an outside linebacker on the board, but Reid is a decent value, and Doss has great hands and helps receiver depth. McPhee is an intriguing defensive end prospect, as well.
Needs: B
Value: A-
Overall: B+
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Buffalo Bills
Top needs: OT, OLB, WR, TE
Summary: Buffalo drafted some really good football players and clearly put the emphasis on defense. Dareus is the ideal penetrating pass-rusher to convert into a 3-4 defensive end and allows the Bills to really stick with that scheme. The Bills also got a good value with Williams early in Round 2. Sheppard is a guy that while not very explosive, is instinctive and should be starting early in his career. Where I do have a question is why they again waited until Day 3 to get any help on the offensive line. They didn't take an offensive tackle until the fifth round last year, when that need seemed more glaring. One guy who should feel good about this draft is Ryan Fitzpatrick, who is clearly the preferred starter at quarterback. Bills fans just have to hope the blocking can hold up.
Needs: C+
Value: B+
Overall: B
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Denver Broncos
Top needs: DL, CB, LB, S
Summary: Denver got the player who could very well have the biggest impact of any rookie when it grabbed Miller with the No. 2 overall pick. I can see John Fox using him as a SAM linebacker, situationally creating matchup problems and allowing him to use his athleticism as a pass-rusher. Denver did need a safety, and Moore provides a lot of value all the way down at No. 45 overall. It was a weak safety class, but that's still quite low to get the first one off the board. Nate Irving could be a steal at No. 67, a player who recovered from a near-fatal accident and had some monster games. But I question where the defensive line help is coming from, and if the Broncos could pass on getting a corner. I had the D-line as a big need, and it wasn't addressed. Still, they added impact, and that counts.
Needs: C+
Value: B+
Overall: B
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Chicago Bears
Top needs: OL, DT, CB, OLB
Summary: The top needs I saw for the Bears were on the offensive line and along the defensive interior, where they've had some recent attrition. Carimi was a great value that late in Round 1, and is a player that can be moved along the line (presumably to right tackle) to help right away. Paea isn't a guy who will get a lot of penetration, but he'll help the Bears' linebackers avoid blockers. They also added some safety help, and took a shot on Enderle, a kid with a big arm who could develop behind Jay Cutler. I don't see Enderle as a starter, but a backup is a nice thing to have, and backup quarterback was actually a need position for the Bears, particularly given all the hits Cutler takes. Solid draft for the Bears, who got to get back in the early mix this year.
Needs: B+
Value: B-
Overall: B
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New York Jets
Top needs: DE, OLB, WR, S
Summary: The Jets needed help at both defensive end spots up front in their 3-4, and did a great job adding talent with their first two picks. Wilkerson could be one of the bigger steals of the first round, a player I maintain is a 2012 top-10 pick who was a really good value in 2011. He is a load at nearly 320 pounds, capable of taking on blocks and causing problems in the backfield. Ellis also is a good player, a dominant player against average competition who could respond well to Rex Ryan's coaching. Kerley fills a need for depth at wideout. McElroy might be a really good backup quarterback for the Jets. You want a backup who knows the playbook, and that won't be a problem for the him. The Jets didn't have the picks to find an outside linebacker who can help, and that's a need they'll need to address in free agency.
Needs: B-
Value: B+
Overall: B
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Houston Texans
Top needs: S, OLB, WR, DL
Summary: It's the prospects who get the red carpet treatment here in New York, but it's Wade Phillips who got the carpet laid out for him in this draft. The new defensive coordinator for the Texans got a lot of new toys to work with, and I think Houston did a solid job in terms of value in addressing what was simply a bad defense in 2010. Watt is a versatile defensive end who will fit that 3-4 scheme and Reed is the outside rusher they needed. The Texans then went to the secondary, a disaster in 2010, adding Harris with a particularly good value pick, then Carmichael and Keo. I would have liked to have seen another wide receiver in the mix, but I love the pick of Yates, who could be a good one if given time to develop. With Matt Schaub there, he should get plenty of clipboard time.
Needs: A-
Value: B-
Overall: B
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St. Louis Rams
Top needs: WR, OLB, DT, OG
Summary: St. Louis got a lot done, and now unquestionably looks like a franchise ready to take that next step. Nobody got better immediate dividends from the draft than the Rams in 2010 with fantastic rookie seasons from Sam Bradford and Rodger Saffold, and they could have the early-impact player in this draft with the addition of Quinn. Had he played at all in 2010, this is a player who could have been in the mix as a No. 1 overall pick. To get him at No. 14 is a steal in terms of talent. Then St. Louis immediately started targeting solutions in the passing game. Kendricks, Pettis and Salas could all help Bradford, who did a lot with a pretty weak cast of wideouts last year. The Rams didn't get any help at guard or defensive tackle, but given their needs, they didn't have enough picks to cover them all.
Needs: A-
Value: B-
Overall: B
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New Orleans Saints
Top needs: DE, OT, OLB, DT
Summary: Saints fans should have been thrilled headed into Saturday. In Round 1, the team got a great value with Jordan at No. 24, then got the best running back in the draft by trading into the No. 28 pick to get Ingram. On Friday, somehow Wilson fell in the Saints' laps at No. 72. He could have gone far higher. I didn't see cornerback as a major need, but Patrick is a nice prospect and teams will be throwing a lot against New Orleans because of how much the Saints figure to score. Romeus is a player who, a year ago, I assumed would go far higher, but injuries have set him back. He's a good risk late. Where the Saints didn't get anything done was at defensive tackle and anywhere along the offensive line, where a tackle could be used. But the top of the draft was good enough where late positional needs can be overlooked to a degree. Of course, a traded Round 1 pick also factors in.
Needs: C+
Value: A-
Overall: B
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Arizona Cardinals
Top needs: QB, OLB, CB, OT
Summary: The Cardinals can't be graded too harshly when you consider that they got the No. 1 overall player on my Big Board. That they got him at No. 5 even when cornerback wasn't among their top two needs says they showed good discipline when it comes to taking value. When they didn't take a quarterback at No. 5, you also knew this team wasn't going to address its top overall need in the draft. My question, however, is whether the Cardinals did much to help themselves at two other needs, outside linebacker and offensive tackle. The Cardinals were a case study in maximizing value, but needs definitely were sacrificed in a couple of spots. They do add impact, however, which is worth something.
Needs: C
Value: A-
Overall: B-
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New York Giants
Top needs: OLB, OG, DT, WR
Summary: Give the Giants credit -- they got some serious value with their first two picks. Amukamara had dropped a bit on my Big Board leading up to the draft, but was still a really good value at No. 19 overall. And Austin has the talent to be a really good NFL defensive tackle if he can add a little consistency. His talent is obvious, but the production hasn't matched the ability. Jernigan is a flyer and could work the slot and help in the return game. But I do wonder if the Giants waited a little too long to gain any help along the offensive line. Brewer at No. 117 is a fair pick, but that line is not a young group, and isn't any better than they were three days ago. They did wisely get a pair of linebackers for a unit that was pretty bad in 2010, but can they help soon?
Needs: C
Value: A-
Overall: B-
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Miami Dolphins
Top needs: RB, QB, OG, C
Summary: Miami went after needs and got some immediate help in key spots, including guard and running back, getting pretty even value overall. Pouncey should start and pay early dividends at guard, and while Thomas has seen his stock dip, he's a capable running back who could be the starter pretty early in his career. Getting him where the Dolphins did represents good value. Gates is a pretty intriguing player, one of the fastest players in the draft. Clay should stick as a physical fullback. Solid, unspectacular weekend for Miami.
Needs: B+
Value: C
Overall: B-
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Dallas Cowboys
Top needs: CB, OT, S, OG
Summary: While I thought Dallas might trade down off No. 9 and get more value at the tackle position a little later in Round 1, Smith made a lot of sense at No. 9, and the Cowboys showed conviction with the pick. He could be the solution for them at left tackle if he develops, or perhaps gets moved to the right side for now. After that, it got a little confusing for two rounds. Dallas went linebacker and running back in Rounds 2 and 3 before targeting more pressing needs at corner and guard in the following two rounds. Dallas got good value later, but never took a player that seemed like a steal at the position. Harris is a guy who might continue to develop at wideout.
Needs: B-
Value: C+
Overall: B-
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Kansas City Chiefs
Top needs: WR, OLB, C, NT
Summary: Scott Pioli certainly deserves the benefit of the doubt after the way he got such early dividends from last year's class. This year he again went after guys I think the Chiefs want to see on the field really early. I had wide receiver as a big need, and Baldwin is a big target for Matt Cassel. Problem is, he was a reach on my board. The Chiefs also need a center and Hudson is a good one who can step in there. Houston fell on off-the-field concerns but his talent level is far higher than his draft slot, and Bailey is an intriguing player because he has a lot of talent, but had a poor senior year in terms of production and could have been picked much later. Stanzi is a decent value in Round 5. Solid draft in terms of addressing needs, average in terms of value. Powe was a really solid late value at nose tackle.
Needs: B
Value: C
Overall: C+
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Philadelphia Eagles
Top needs: OT, CB, DT, S
Summary: This feels like last year. I look at the Philly board and think, "Well, they got a lot of guys." The Eagles targeted what I considered their three biggest needs with their first three picks. The selection of Watkins surprised some people, as he may have been available even into the early second round, but they may believe he has the capability to stay at tackle. I think he's a guard. Elsewhere, Jarrett provides depth at safety, and Marsh will be asked to step in early at corner. David Akers can't feel too confident about his future in Philly, as Henery was the first kicker off the board. The looming question now is what picks or players will come back if and when the Eagles decide to deal Kevin Kolb.
Needs: B
Value: C
Overall: C+
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Atlanta Falcons
Top needs: WR, DE, OLB, TE
Summary: Before the quarterback light show lit up Radio City early in Round 1, Atlanta made the move that drew the biggest reaction. Let's face it, the Falcons are counting on Jones to be really good, really soon. They gave a boatload of high-value picks for him, and you get a sense that this a team that really views the immediate future as a title window it needs to pursue. I do like the change-of-pace that Rodgers can offer. He offers a pass-catching threat the Falcons can use from that position. They did need the linebacking help, and Dent is a fit there, but this draft is now all about Jones. His talent and physical skills are significant. The only lingering question is whether he can stay healthy. I like Jones, and love Rodgers, but this grade also reflects extraordinary value given up.
Needs: B+
Value: C-
Overall: C+
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New England Patriots
Top needs: OLB, WR, DE, RB
Summary: This was a mixed bag for me, a usual tour de force of adding a lifetime supply of roster spackle with the acquisition of draft picks -- the Patriots now have a pair of Round 1 and Round 2 picks to use (and trade) in 2012 -- but also with a few puzzlers mixed in with the usual smart picks. The Patriots needed offensive line help in a couple of spots, and they got an athletic guy that can be plugged in immediately with Solder. Dowling is a first-round pick if fully healthy, but he wasn't all year in 2010. The Patriots reached on a pair of running backs, though Vereen offers a nice pass-catching option, before the notable selection of Mallett. I don't mind that pick. Value is value, and while Tom Brady's true heir may still be in high school, Mallett is now a commodity worth developing. Look what happened with Matt Cassel. I like the selection of Cannon, a massive lineman, but no real help in the pass rush at either defensive end of outside linebacker is pretty surprising. They got so little in terms of a pass rush from a quartet of linebackers, and this is a team that passed on Clay Matthews two years ago. Where is the pass rush help? As always, the Patriots will have plenty of chances to plug holes again next year.
Needs: C
Value: B-
Overall: C+
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Oakland Raiders
Top needs: WR, CB, OLB, QB
Summary: You could see the pick of Wisniewski coming if you know Oakland's history. Stefen's uncle, Steve, was a great Raiders offensive lineman for 13 seasons. The pick itself came out as a slight reach on my board, but I know better than to say it was a bad reach, because Oakland consistently pick guys I have rated a little lower, but they often work out. Bottom line: it's not always about value with the Raiders, it's about getting their guy. Van Dyke makes sense as a Round 3 pick -- the Raiders need a corner with the likely departure of Nnamdi Asomugha and Van Dyke is, of course, perhaps the fastest guy in the draft. The Raiders then again went offensive line and cornerback in repeat order. They upgraded their offensive line last year and had great results with Hue Jackson calling the plays, and it appears they wanted to finish the job in 2011. I was a little surprised they didn't address a clear need at outside linebacker a little earlier. They also waited until Round 5 to get a wideout, a spot I thought they might get to earlier. Another pretty good draft for the Raiders, who like their guys but don't worry as much about value.
Needs: B
Value: C
Overall: C+
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Washington Redskins
Top needs: QB, WR, OG, DE
Summary: We know the Redskins need help at quarterback, but I'll give them credit: They realized there wasn't a quarterback in this draft who can help them in 2011, and they moved out of the spot that became the Gabbert pick. They clearly have concerns about their defensive line, and should get help in the pass rush from Kerrigan. Jenkins was an OK value, a bit of a surprise in Round 2, but the Hankerson selection at No. 79 was in the neighborhood of a steal. He gives them something they really don't have on the roster now. You have to assume Mike Shanahan thinks a lot of Helu, given the trade up to get him. The Skins added players at pretty much every need outside of quarterback, where they clearly have other ideas in mind. Fair enough. I just don't think impact will be significant.
Needs: C+
Value: B-
Overall: C+
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San Francisco 49ers
Top needs: QB, OLB, WR, CB
Summary: You'll hear Smith called the first big reach of Round 1, but he wouldn't have lasted long at all past the No. 7 slot where the Niners nabbed him. And beyond the obvious question at quarterback, an outside linebacker who can rush the quarterback was the biggest position of need for this team, and if Smith continues on his developmental path, he could be a star. Jim Harbaugh found a quarterback he can develop with Kaepernick in Round 2, but even with the run on quarterbacks, I saw that as a reach. There's a lot of development needed. San Fran did hit on other top needs at cornerback and wide receiver, and got decent value in Hunter for depth at running back. Kilgore also offers a little more depth at guard. It's all about what happens at quarterback in terms of how we judge the success of the 2011 49ers, but I judge this weekend as a relative success. It's just a small worry when your first two picks both have development requirements.
Needs: B
Value: C-
Overall: C+
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Minnesota Vikings
Top needs: QB, S, OT, DL
Summary: The Vikings clearly need an answer at the quarterback position, but they reached for Ponder at No. 12. They clearly believe he's their guy long-term, but the draft is about value too. When you saw Dalton land all the way down at No. 35, you had to wonder if Ponder could have been had later. The Rudolph pick was a pretty solid value and Ballard could be a good defensive lineman. The Vikings also landed some needed help at cornerback and along the offensive line. Minnesota reached for a quarterback, in my opinion, and like Tennessee, still doesn't know who will start the season at quarterback. However, the Vikings rebounded nicely on Days 2 and 3.
Needs: B-
Value: C+
Overall: C+
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Tennessee Titans
Top needs: QB, OLB, DT, WR
Summary: Tennessee provided the first true shock of the draft. The Atlanta-Cleveland trade wasn't really a shock -- it was more about the compensation. But the Titans took the first major value shot that didn't involve the No. 1 pick. The story of this draft will be how they use Locker. Will they have the patience not to rush him? Will he become more accurate in the NFL than he was in college? The guy has a remarkable skill-set, but productivity is the question. As a pick, you can say the value perhaps wasn't too poor because he wouldn't have lasted past No. 12, but even then he's still a bit of a project. All these quarterbacks taken early were reaches in terms of value, but those are the risks teams feel they need to take to find an answer. After Locker, I do like the Ayers pick. He has Round 1 tape and was taken at No. 39. Casey is also a talented kid who needs to mature. Another wide receiver would have been nice, but so would an idea of who will be throwing the ball in 2011.
Needs: C+
Value: C-
Overall: C
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Carolina Panthers
Top needs: DT, QB, CB, OLB
Summary: The Panthers got a player I had rated as the No. 15 overall player on my Big Board with the No. 1 pick, a guy even Newton's personal quarterback coach says should be given at least a year to serve an apprenticeship at the NFL level. And yet, of course you have to be intrigued with the potential of Newton. No player in the draft has such an array of physical gifts, and Newton is drafted at No. 1 because the Panthers know he has an extremely high ceiling. So it might be tempting to say it all comes down to Newton, but you can't, because the Panthers really did address a few needs once they got their man. They needed help at defensive tackle, and added two of them early. They needed a wideout and a corner, and hit those picks later as well. The Panthers now have tough decisions to make at the quarterback position, the kind that could see them back drafting this high again next year, but they did some good things.
Needs: C+
Value: C-
Overall: C
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Jacksonville Jaguars
Top needs: DE, QB, S, WR
Summary: Jacksonville got a quarterback at No. 10 I had rated as the No. 1 quarterback on my Big Board. Of course, I had Gabbert at No. 14 overall. Bottom line: this draft will be viewed through the prism of Gabbert and whether he succeeds. I think he has a shot but he needs time to develop, and after this draft I see a team that didn't really improve much in the near term, but believes it has its franchise quarterback of the future. Rackley is a nice player to plug in at guard when he's needed, and Shorts could be another find from Mount Union. But a clear need at defensive end wasn't addressed, and I thought that was a key. Last year the Jaguars addressed it in free agency, and hopefully that bandage will hold. A corner also could have been used.
Needs: C
Value: C-
Overall: C-
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Seattle Seahawks
Top needs: QB, OT, WR, DL
Summary: By passing on Andy Dalton, the clear impression is that Seattle has other plans (or hopes to) at quarterback. Could it be Carson Palmer or Kevin Kolb? I hope the Seahawks have better plans for quarterback than they appeared to in terms of adding value here. Carpenter fits a need, but was a reach with better tackle available. Moffitt can help this offensive line, but I didn't see guard as a top need. Wright was a reach on my board, as was Durham, a wideout out of Georgia who may have been around much, much later. The Seahawks then made some sensible picks in the secondary, but at what impact that late? They did nothing really to help the defensive line and their sense of value was questionable. The positive might be that this is a very young team, and you suspect Pete Carroll expects improvement. I just don't know if he added much this weekend.
Needs: C
Value: D
Overall: D+
By Mel Kiper Jr.
ESPN Insider
We changed the draft grades a little this year. Now, the obvious complaint we always hear is, "You can't really grade a draft for a few years." Not true. You can't assess the performance of the players drafted for a few years, but you can assess the degree to which teams maximized value while filling needs. That's what this is. I ask: To what degree did teams fill roster gaps? And with each selection, did they get the most possible value out of that spot on the board? Then we balance the two.
To make the process a little more clear in 2011, we added grades for both "Needs" and "Value" which factor into the overall grade. On my scale, a B grade is pretty solid. It means you consistently hit needs and found value in the process. Higher than that implies exceptional value at need positions; below that means there was more hit and miss. So don't see a "C" grade and assume a bad draft. It simply implies more of a mixed bag. With an explanation in place, let's hand out some grades for the 2011 NFL draft.
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Detroit Lions
Top needs: CB, OLB, OT, DE
Summary: Detroit hit home runs all over in terms of value, but the question is whether the Lions did enough to help the talent level in a way that can further conceal weaknesses. For example, Fairley at No. 13 is perhaps the steal of the draft -- imagine what the Lions can do up front now -- but will the pass rush now be so good that it can mask the personnel issues that dot the secondary? Leshoure adds more potency at running back, but can this offensive line open enough holes? The Lions should be concerned about how well they can block in both the run and passing games, and didn't get an offensive lineman until No. 209 overall. Matthew Stafford's health is such a huge concern. But even after those questions, the value was oustanding. Fairley, Young, Leshoure and even Hogue could have gone earlier. Is it possible to love a Detroit draft when the Lions didn't add major help at cornerback or offensive tackle? Ask me after free agency, I guess.
Needs: C+
Value: A+
Overall: A-
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Cincinnati Bengals
Top needs: DE, WR, RB, OLB
Summary: They've received their fair share of negativity over the years, but you have to give the Bengals a lot of credit for what they accomplished in 2011. They can see the big roster voids on the horizon at quarterback and wide receiver, and they didn't wait. Green is a superstar in the making, and considering the run on quarterbacks before the middle of the first round, getting Dalton was a steal by comparison. Moch is a pass-rushing specialist that will make plays, and they got good value in Boling and Sands. A great three days for the Bengals.
Needs: B+
Value: A
Overall: A-
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San Diego Chargers
Top needs: WR, DE, S, OT
Summary: San Diego had a really quietly effective three days. Liuget is a player that provides immediate help on a depleted defensive line, Gilchrist and Wright both can get on the field for the Chargers at corner, and I think Todman could be a steal down in the sixth round. Mouton may have been a bit of a reach, but you need linebacker depth in that system, and outside of Liuget, you see a number of players on this board that might be able to help what was a disastrous special teams unit in 2010. I might have preferred an offensive tackle taken where Mouton was picked in the third round, but the Chargers targeted needs pretty effectively otherwise.
Needs: A-
Value: B-
Overall: B+
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Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Top needs: DE, CB, WR, OLB
Summary: Last year, the Bucs made it clear that the defensive line was a key, drafting defensive tackles with their first two picks. Problem was, they didn't get any production from the defensive end position in 2010. Well, Clayborn will help in 2011, and Bowers could be an all-timer as a steal if he's healthy. That's the skill-set of a top-5 pick all the way down at No. 51. Foster offers help at linebacker, and suddenly the Bucs have to feel really good about the front seven. The question now is in the secondary, where they didn't get anyone until Black was selected at No. 151. Stocker came into 2010 as a much higher likely pick, so he could be a good value if he shows some of that form.
Needs: A-
Value: B+
Overall: B+
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Cleveland Browns
Top needs: WR, DE, LB, RT
Summary: You would think Cleveland trading down and piling up picks for this year and into the next two years would be good enough, but once the picks started, Browns fans should have been even more pleased. Taylor may have been a bit of a reach, but he's the best clogger in the draft, and those guys aren't easy to find. The Sheard pick made a lot of sense, and Little is a really good value as a potential big, down-the-field threat for Colt McCoy. I would have liked to have seen the Browns get a linebacker and some help at right tackle, but given what they did in terms of adding future picks, the grade in this draft is also something that will truly extend to later drafts.
Needs: B
Value: B-
Overall: B+
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Pittsburgh Steelers
Top needs: OT, CB, DL, WR
Summary: This was a typically unflashy draft, but what I consider an effective one for Pittsburgh. (And it's hard to be flashy when you always pick late.) The Steelers needed to get younger at defensive end and they added Heyward within a good value range. They needed a tackle and they added Gilbert. They really needed corner help and got a really good value in Brown at No. 95, then pegged Allen in Round 4. Carter is a guy Dick LeBeau can develop. Solid weekend for Pittsburgh.
Needs: A-
Value: B-
Overall: B+
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Indianapolis Colts
Top needs: OT, OG, DT, WR
Summary: The Colts started springing leaks on the offensive line in 2010, as Peyton Manning faced more pressure and the running game all but stalled. Bill Polian clearly had his priorities in order, adding immediate help on the offensive line with his first two picks. Castonzo isn't seen as a really high-ceiling tackle, but he's a very good one, always healthy and with good feet, making him a potential long-term solution on the blindside. Ijalana can convert to guard and be effective. Indy also needed help on the defensive interior and got a pretty good value fit with Nevis in the third round. Rucker can be a pretty good player when he's focused on football. He has a chance to outplay that spot on the board.
Needs: A-
Value: B
Overall: B+
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Green Bay Packers
Top needs: OT, OLB, DE, OG
Summary: The Packers are clearly confident in the resourcefulness of defensive coordinator Dom Capers. They can score points on anybody, but still went after needs on offense with their first three picks. This team knows success starts with protecting Aaron Rodgers and Sherrod was a player they may have felt lucky to have the chance to pick at No. 32. Cobb is a nice little player that can work the slot and is great in the locker room, and Green is a really good running back not many people have seen. Where I do have a questions is Green Bay comes away with no real help in rushing the passer unless it hits on one of those really late picks. This is a team that needs to limit its dependency on Clay Matthews, but didn't do much to help him. The upshot is this is a team that essentially "drafts" a number of players relegated to the disabled list last year. All in all, not half bad.
Needs: B+
Value: B
Overall: B+
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Baltimore Ravens
Top needs: CB, WR, LB, S
Summary: Last year, the Ravens got a lot good value but didn't get much out of the class in 2010. This year, they again got a lot of good value, but also hit on some players that could fill holes a little earlier. The big name is Jimmy Smith, who has the talent to go higher, but could use the guidance that a player like Ray Lewis can provide. Given that cornerback was the biggest need on my board for Baltimore, a value like Smith should have them thrilled. The Ravens also need a wideout who can stretch the field, and got one with Torrey Smith of Maryland. He's a burner. I would have liked to see an outside linebacker on the board, but Reid is a decent value, and Doss has great hands and helps receiver depth. McPhee is an intriguing defensive end prospect, as well.
Needs: B
Value: A-
Overall: B+
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Buffalo Bills
Top needs: OT, OLB, WR, TE
Summary: Buffalo drafted some really good football players and clearly put the emphasis on defense. Dareus is the ideal penetrating pass-rusher to convert into a 3-4 defensive end and allows the Bills to really stick with that scheme. The Bills also got a good value with Williams early in Round 2. Sheppard is a guy that while not very explosive, is instinctive and should be starting early in his career. Where I do have a question is why they again waited until Day 3 to get any help on the offensive line. They didn't take an offensive tackle until the fifth round last year, when that need seemed more glaring. One guy who should feel good about this draft is Ryan Fitzpatrick, who is clearly the preferred starter at quarterback. Bills fans just have to hope the blocking can hold up.
Needs: C+
Value: B+
Overall: B
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Denver Broncos
Top needs: DL, CB, LB, S
Summary: Denver got the player who could very well have the biggest impact of any rookie when it grabbed Miller with the No. 2 overall pick. I can see John Fox using him as a SAM linebacker, situationally creating matchup problems and allowing him to use his athleticism as a pass-rusher. Denver did need a safety, and Moore provides a lot of value all the way down at No. 45 overall. It was a weak safety class, but that's still quite low to get the first one off the board. Nate Irving could be a steal at No. 67, a player who recovered from a near-fatal accident and had some monster games. But I question where the defensive line help is coming from, and if the Broncos could pass on getting a corner. I had the D-line as a big need, and it wasn't addressed. Still, they added impact, and that counts.
Needs: C+
Value: B+
Overall: B
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Chicago Bears
Top needs: OL, DT, CB, OLB
Summary: The top needs I saw for the Bears were on the offensive line and along the defensive interior, where they've had some recent attrition. Carimi was a great value that late in Round 1, and is a player that can be moved along the line (presumably to right tackle) to help right away. Paea isn't a guy who will get a lot of penetration, but he'll help the Bears' linebackers avoid blockers. They also added some safety help, and took a shot on Enderle, a kid with a big arm who could develop behind Jay Cutler. I don't see Enderle as a starter, but a backup is a nice thing to have, and backup quarterback was actually a need position for the Bears, particularly given all the hits Cutler takes. Solid draft for the Bears, who got to get back in the early mix this year.
Needs: B+
Value: B-
Overall: B
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New York Jets
Top needs: DE, OLB, WR, S
Summary: The Jets needed help at both defensive end spots up front in their 3-4, and did a great job adding talent with their first two picks. Wilkerson could be one of the bigger steals of the first round, a player I maintain is a 2012 top-10 pick who was a really good value in 2011. He is a load at nearly 320 pounds, capable of taking on blocks and causing problems in the backfield. Ellis also is a good player, a dominant player against average competition who could respond well to Rex Ryan's coaching. Kerley fills a need for depth at wideout. McElroy might be a really good backup quarterback for the Jets. You want a backup who knows the playbook, and that won't be a problem for the him. The Jets didn't have the picks to find an outside linebacker who can help, and that's a need they'll need to address in free agency.
Needs: B-
Value: B+
Overall: B
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Houston Texans
Top needs: S, OLB, WR, DL
Summary: It's the prospects who get the red carpet treatment here in New York, but it's Wade Phillips who got the carpet laid out for him in this draft. The new defensive coordinator for the Texans got a lot of new toys to work with, and I think Houston did a solid job in terms of value in addressing what was simply a bad defense in 2010. Watt is a versatile defensive end who will fit that 3-4 scheme and Reed is the outside rusher they needed. The Texans then went to the secondary, a disaster in 2010, adding Harris with a particularly good value pick, then Carmichael and Keo. I would have liked to have seen another wide receiver in the mix, but I love the pick of Yates, who could be a good one if given time to develop. With Matt Schaub there, he should get plenty of clipboard time.
Needs: A-
Value: B-
Overall: B
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St. Louis Rams
Top needs: WR, OLB, DT, OG
Summary: St. Louis got a lot done, and now unquestionably looks like a franchise ready to take that next step. Nobody got better immediate dividends from the draft than the Rams in 2010 with fantastic rookie seasons from Sam Bradford and Rodger Saffold, and they could have the early-impact player in this draft with the addition of Quinn. Had he played at all in 2010, this is a player who could have been in the mix as a No. 1 overall pick. To get him at No. 14 is a steal in terms of talent. Then St. Louis immediately started targeting solutions in the passing game. Kendricks, Pettis and Salas could all help Bradford, who did a lot with a pretty weak cast of wideouts last year. The Rams didn't get any help at guard or defensive tackle, but given their needs, they didn't have enough picks to cover them all.
Needs: A-
Value: B-
Overall: B
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New Orleans Saints
Top needs: DE, OT, OLB, DT
Summary: Saints fans should have been thrilled headed into Saturday. In Round 1, the team got a great value with Jordan at No. 24, then got the best running back in the draft by trading into the No. 28 pick to get Ingram. On Friday, somehow Wilson fell in the Saints' laps at No. 72. He could have gone far higher. I didn't see cornerback as a major need, but Patrick is a nice prospect and teams will be throwing a lot against New Orleans because of how much the Saints figure to score. Romeus is a player who, a year ago, I assumed would go far higher, but injuries have set him back. He's a good risk late. Where the Saints didn't get anything done was at defensive tackle and anywhere along the offensive line, where a tackle could be used. But the top of the draft was good enough where late positional needs can be overlooked to a degree. Of course, a traded Round 1 pick also factors in.
Needs: C+
Value: A-
Overall: B
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Arizona Cardinals
Top needs: QB, OLB, CB, OT
Summary: The Cardinals can't be graded too harshly when you consider that they got the No. 1 overall player on my Big Board. That they got him at No. 5 even when cornerback wasn't among their top two needs says they showed good discipline when it comes to taking value. When they didn't take a quarterback at No. 5, you also knew this team wasn't going to address its top overall need in the draft. My question, however, is whether the Cardinals did much to help themselves at two other needs, outside linebacker and offensive tackle. The Cardinals were a case study in maximizing value, but needs definitely were sacrificed in a couple of spots. They do add impact, however, which is worth something.
Needs: C
Value: A-
Overall: B-
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New York Giants
Top needs: OLB, OG, DT, WR
Summary: Give the Giants credit -- they got some serious value with their first two picks. Amukamara had dropped a bit on my Big Board leading up to the draft, but was still a really good value at No. 19 overall. And Austin has the talent to be a really good NFL defensive tackle if he can add a little consistency. His talent is obvious, but the production hasn't matched the ability. Jernigan is a flyer and could work the slot and help in the return game. But I do wonder if the Giants waited a little too long to gain any help along the offensive line. Brewer at No. 117 is a fair pick, but that line is not a young group, and isn't any better than they were three days ago. They did wisely get a pair of linebackers for a unit that was pretty bad in 2010, but can they help soon?
Needs: C
Value: A-
Overall: B-
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Miami Dolphins
Top needs: RB, QB, OG, C
Summary: Miami went after needs and got some immediate help in key spots, including guard and running back, getting pretty even value overall. Pouncey should start and pay early dividends at guard, and while Thomas has seen his stock dip, he's a capable running back who could be the starter pretty early in his career. Getting him where the Dolphins did represents good value. Gates is a pretty intriguing player, one of the fastest players in the draft. Clay should stick as a physical fullback. Solid, unspectacular weekend for Miami.
Needs: B+
Value: C
Overall: B-
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Dallas Cowboys
Top needs: CB, OT, S, OG
Summary: While I thought Dallas might trade down off No. 9 and get more value at the tackle position a little later in Round 1, Smith made a lot of sense at No. 9, and the Cowboys showed conviction with the pick. He could be the solution for them at left tackle if he develops, or perhaps gets moved to the right side for now. After that, it got a little confusing for two rounds. Dallas went linebacker and running back in Rounds 2 and 3 before targeting more pressing needs at corner and guard in the following two rounds. Dallas got good value later, but never took a player that seemed like a steal at the position. Harris is a guy who might continue to develop at wideout.
Needs: B-
Value: C+
Overall: B-
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Kansas City Chiefs
Top needs: WR, OLB, C, NT
Summary: Scott Pioli certainly deserves the benefit of the doubt after the way he got such early dividends from last year's class. This year he again went after guys I think the Chiefs want to see on the field really early. I had wide receiver as a big need, and Baldwin is a big target for Matt Cassel. Problem is, he was a reach on my board. The Chiefs also need a center and Hudson is a good one who can step in there. Houston fell on off-the-field concerns but his talent level is far higher than his draft slot, and Bailey is an intriguing player because he has a lot of talent, but had a poor senior year in terms of production and could have been picked much later. Stanzi is a decent value in Round 5. Solid draft in terms of addressing needs, average in terms of value. Powe was a really solid late value at nose tackle.
Needs: B
Value: C
Overall: C+
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Philadelphia Eagles
Top needs: OT, CB, DT, S
Summary: This feels like last year. I look at the Philly board and think, "Well, they got a lot of guys." The Eagles targeted what I considered their three biggest needs with their first three picks. The selection of Watkins surprised some people, as he may have been available even into the early second round, but they may believe he has the capability to stay at tackle. I think he's a guard. Elsewhere, Jarrett provides depth at safety, and Marsh will be asked to step in early at corner. David Akers can't feel too confident about his future in Philly, as Henery was the first kicker off the board. The looming question now is what picks or players will come back if and when the Eagles decide to deal Kevin Kolb.
Needs: B
Value: C
Overall: C+
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Atlanta Falcons
Top needs: WR, DE, OLB, TE
Summary: Before the quarterback light show lit up Radio City early in Round 1, Atlanta made the move that drew the biggest reaction. Let's face it, the Falcons are counting on Jones to be really good, really soon. They gave a boatload of high-value picks for him, and you get a sense that this a team that really views the immediate future as a title window it needs to pursue. I do like the change-of-pace that Rodgers can offer. He offers a pass-catching threat the Falcons can use from that position. They did need the linebacking help, and Dent is a fit there, but this draft is now all about Jones. His talent and physical skills are significant. The only lingering question is whether he can stay healthy. I like Jones, and love Rodgers, but this grade also reflects extraordinary value given up.
Needs: B+
Value: C-
Overall: C+
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New England Patriots
Top needs: OLB, WR, DE, RB
Summary: This was a mixed bag for me, a usual tour de force of adding a lifetime supply of roster spackle with the acquisition of draft picks -- the Patriots now have a pair of Round 1 and Round 2 picks to use (and trade) in 2012 -- but also with a few puzzlers mixed in with the usual smart picks. The Patriots needed offensive line help in a couple of spots, and they got an athletic guy that can be plugged in immediately with Solder. Dowling is a first-round pick if fully healthy, but he wasn't all year in 2010. The Patriots reached on a pair of running backs, though Vereen offers a nice pass-catching option, before the notable selection of Mallett. I don't mind that pick. Value is value, and while Tom Brady's true heir may still be in high school, Mallett is now a commodity worth developing. Look what happened with Matt Cassel. I like the selection of Cannon, a massive lineman, but no real help in the pass rush at either defensive end of outside linebacker is pretty surprising. They got so little in terms of a pass rush from a quartet of linebackers, and this is a team that passed on Clay Matthews two years ago. Where is the pass rush help? As always, the Patriots will have plenty of chances to plug holes again next year.
Needs: C
Value: B-
Overall: C+
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Oakland Raiders
Top needs: WR, CB, OLB, QB
Summary: You could see the pick of Wisniewski coming if you know Oakland's history. Stefen's uncle, Steve, was a great Raiders offensive lineman for 13 seasons. The pick itself came out as a slight reach on my board, but I know better than to say it was a bad reach, because Oakland consistently pick guys I have rated a little lower, but they often work out. Bottom line: it's not always about value with the Raiders, it's about getting their guy. Van Dyke makes sense as a Round 3 pick -- the Raiders need a corner with the likely departure of Nnamdi Asomugha and Van Dyke is, of course, perhaps the fastest guy in the draft. The Raiders then again went offensive line and cornerback in repeat order. They upgraded their offensive line last year and had great results with Hue Jackson calling the plays, and it appears they wanted to finish the job in 2011. I was a little surprised they didn't address a clear need at outside linebacker a little earlier. They also waited until Round 5 to get a wideout, a spot I thought they might get to earlier. Another pretty good draft for the Raiders, who like their guys but don't worry as much about value.
Needs: B
Value: C
Overall: C+
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Washington Redskins
Top needs: QB, WR, OG, DE
Summary: We know the Redskins need help at quarterback, but I'll give them credit: They realized there wasn't a quarterback in this draft who can help them in 2011, and they moved out of the spot that became the Gabbert pick. They clearly have concerns about their defensive line, and should get help in the pass rush from Kerrigan. Jenkins was an OK value, a bit of a surprise in Round 2, but the Hankerson selection at No. 79 was in the neighborhood of a steal. He gives them something they really don't have on the roster now. You have to assume Mike Shanahan thinks a lot of Helu, given the trade up to get him. The Skins added players at pretty much every need outside of quarterback, where they clearly have other ideas in mind. Fair enough. I just don't think impact will be significant.
Needs: C+
Value: B-
Overall: C+
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San Francisco 49ers
Top needs: QB, OLB, WR, CB
Summary: You'll hear Smith called the first big reach of Round 1, but he wouldn't have lasted long at all past the No. 7 slot where the Niners nabbed him. And beyond the obvious question at quarterback, an outside linebacker who can rush the quarterback was the biggest position of need for this team, and if Smith continues on his developmental path, he could be a star. Jim Harbaugh found a quarterback he can develop with Kaepernick in Round 2, but even with the run on quarterbacks, I saw that as a reach. There's a lot of development needed. San Fran did hit on other top needs at cornerback and wide receiver, and got decent value in Hunter for depth at running back. Kilgore also offers a little more depth at guard. It's all about what happens at quarterback in terms of how we judge the success of the 2011 49ers, but I judge this weekend as a relative success. It's just a small worry when your first two picks both have development requirements.
Needs: B
Value: C-
Overall: C+
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Minnesota Vikings
Top needs: QB, S, OT, DL
Summary: The Vikings clearly need an answer at the quarterback position, but they reached for Ponder at No. 12. They clearly believe he's their guy long-term, but the draft is about value too. When you saw Dalton land all the way down at No. 35, you had to wonder if Ponder could have been had later. The Rudolph pick was a pretty solid value and Ballard could be a good defensive lineman. The Vikings also landed some needed help at cornerback and along the offensive line. Minnesota reached for a quarterback, in my opinion, and like Tennessee, still doesn't know who will start the season at quarterback. However, the Vikings rebounded nicely on Days 2 and 3.
Needs: B-
Value: C+
Overall: C+
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Tennessee Titans
Top needs: QB, OLB, DT, WR
Summary: Tennessee provided the first true shock of the draft. The Atlanta-Cleveland trade wasn't really a shock -- it was more about the compensation. But the Titans took the first major value shot that didn't involve the No. 1 pick. The story of this draft will be how they use Locker. Will they have the patience not to rush him? Will he become more accurate in the NFL than he was in college? The guy has a remarkable skill-set, but productivity is the question. As a pick, you can say the value perhaps wasn't too poor because he wouldn't have lasted past No. 12, but even then he's still a bit of a project. All these quarterbacks taken early were reaches in terms of value, but those are the risks teams feel they need to take to find an answer. After Locker, I do like the Ayers pick. He has Round 1 tape and was taken at No. 39. Casey is also a talented kid who needs to mature. Another wide receiver would have been nice, but so would an idea of who will be throwing the ball in 2011.
Needs: C+
Value: C-
Overall: C
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Carolina Panthers
Top needs: DT, QB, CB, OLB
Summary: The Panthers got a player I had rated as the No. 15 overall player on my Big Board with the No. 1 pick, a guy even Newton's personal quarterback coach says should be given at least a year to serve an apprenticeship at the NFL level. And yet, of course you have to be intrigued with the potential of Newton. No player in the draft has such an array of physical gifts, and Newton is drafted at No. 1 because the Panthers know he has an extremely high ceiling. So it might be tempting to say it all comes down to Newton, but you can't, because the Panthers really did address a few needs once they got their man. They needed help at defensive tackle, and added two of them early. They needed a wideout and a corner, and hit those picks later as well. The Panthers now have tough decisions to make at the quarterback position, the kind that could see them back drafting this high again next year, but they did some good things.
Needs: C+
Value: C-
Overall: C
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Jacksonville Jaguars
Top needs: DE, QB, S, WR
Summary: Jacksonville got a quarterback at No. 10 I had rated as the No. 1 quarterback on my Big Board. Of course, I had Gabbert at No. 14 overall. Bottom line: this draft will be viewed through the prism of Gabbert and whether he succeeds. I think he has a shot but he needs time to develop, and after this draft I see a team that didn't really improve much in the near term, but believes it has its franchise quarterback of the future. Rackley is a nice player to plug in at guard when he's needed, and Shorts could be another find from Mount Union. But a clear need at defensive end wasn't addressed, and I thought that was a key. Last year the Jaguars addressed it in free agency, and hopefully that bandage will hold. A corner also could have been used.
Needs: C
Value: C-
Overall: C-
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Seattle Seahawks
Top needs: QB, OT, WR, DL
Summary: By passing on Andy Dalton, the clear impression is that Seattle has other plans (or hopes to) at quarterback. Could it be Carson Palmer or Kevin Kolb? I hope the Seahawks have better plans for quarterback than they appeared to in terms of adding value here. Carpenter fits a need, but was a reach with better tackle available. Moffitt can help this offensive line, but I didn't see guard as a top need. Wright was a reach on my board, as was Durham, a wideout out of Georgia who may have been around much, much later. The Seahawks then made some sensible picks in the secondary, but at what impact that late? They did nothing really to help the defensive line and their sense of value was questionable. The positive might be that this is a very young team, and you suspect Pete Carroll expects improvement. I just don't know if he added much this weekend.
Needs: C
Value: D
Overall: D+